Buffalo Bills — Gridiron Core

Score is on a 20–80 scale: 50 is the average NFL team and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Percentile is the share of NFL teams it beats — 79th means better than 79 of every 100. 7 games this season · model gic-edge-1.2

Key People

Roster & staff

Players

Josh AllenStarting QB · QB

James Cook IIILeading Rusher · RB707YDS

Dalton KincaidLeading Receiver · TE401YDS

Terrel BernardLeading Tackler · LB51TOT

Coaching Staff

Joe BradyHead Coach

Pete CarmichaelOffensive Coordinator

Jim LeonhardDefensive Coordinator

Jeff RodgersSpecial Teams

Front Office

Terry PegulaOwner

Pete GuelliPresident / CEO

Brandon BeaneGeneral Manager

——Assistant GM

Club Social

AFC EastCurrent standings · division leader takes a seedAll Standings

ClubW-LPCTDIVCONFGB

FinancialsForbes 2026 · cap via Over The Cap

Valuation$8.15B25th

Revenue$617Mlast season27th

Operating$58Mincome27th

Roster Spend74 players · 21st in spend

$248.1Mof $301.2M cap

Cap space $5.8MDead money $47.2M

Valuation, revenue and operating income are Forbes’s 2026 estimates. Cap figures are Over The Cap as of 2026-09-20 and move with every roster transaction.

Club NewsAll News

QB81st pct

Run91st pct

Pass84th pct

Trenches77th pct

Explosive85th pct

Resilience96th pct

Special Teams97th pct

Quarterback5981st pct

+ EPA per dropback (+0.26 EPA)
+ Dropback success (46.7%)
− Turnover avoidance (3.9%)

EPA per dropback: +0.26 EPA; 64; 91st
Dropback success: 46.7%; 57; 76th
Completion over expected: +3.2 CPOE; 57; 77th
Turnover avoidance

+ Stuff avoidance (13.7%)
+ Rush EPA (+0.01 EPA)

Rush EPA: +0.01 EPA; 59; 82nd
Rush success: 45.8%; 58; 80th
Stuff avoidance: 13.7%; 65; 93rd
Explosive runs: 12.4%; 60; 85th
Short yardage: 72.6%; 60; 84th

Confidence: medium

+ Pass EPA (+0.30 EPA)
+ Explosive passes (17.4%)

Pass EPA: +0.30 EPA; 60; 84th
Pass success: 46.7%; 57; 76th
Explosive passes: 17.4%; 61; 87th
Protection: 5.0%; 56; 72nd
Completion over expected: +3.2 CPOE; 57; 77th

Confidence: medium

+ Run-line control (13.7%)
+ Pass protection (5.0%)
− Pressure creation (5.0%)

Run-line control: 13.7%; 65; 93rd
Pass protection: 5.0%; 56; 72nd
Short-yardage blocking: 72.6%; 60; 84th
Stuff creation: 20.6%; 54; 67th
Pressure creation: 5.0%; 42; 22nd
Short-yardage defense: 67.8%; 47; 37th

Confidence: medium

+ Explosive play rate (15.2%)
+ Explosive passes (17.4%)

Explosive play rate: 15.2%; 64; 91st
Explosive passes: 17.4%; 61; 87th
Explosive runs: 12.4%; 60; 85th
Breakaway magnitude: 0.208; 65; 93rd
Explosive prevention: 12.4%; 49; 45th

Confidence: high

+ Offensive response (58.8%)
+ Momentum reversal (46.3%)
− Mistake avoidance (35.8%)

Offensive response: 58.8%; 69; 97th
Defensive response: 63.2%; 58; 80th
Momentum reversal: 46.3%; 73; 99th
Explosive prevention after shocks: 72.8%; 51; 55th
Mistake avoidance: 35.8%; 35; 6th

Confidence: low

+ Field goals vs expectation (+14 pts of make rate)
+ Net punting (46.1 yds)

Field goals vs expectation: +14 pts of make rate; 65; 94th
Net punting: 46.1 yds; 65; 94th
Kick returns: 27.2 yds; 57; 76th
Punt returns: 11.4 yds; 56; 72nd
Return touchdowns: 0.00 / game; 48; 41st

Confidence: low