Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
HIGHMARK STADIUM · ORCHARD PARK, NY

Visitors 290 total, 167 passing, 123 rushing. Home 393 total, 245 passing, 148 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49MIACLEARBUF+1665BUFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackBUF edge
  • Dropback successBUF edge
  • Completion over expectedBUF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceBUF edge
Rush46MIACLEARBUF+1661BUFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABUF edge
  • Rush successBUF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBUF edge
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Short yardageBUF edge
Pass49MIACLEARBUF+1564BUFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPABUF edge
  • Pass successBUF edge
  • Explosive passesBUF edge
  • ProtectionBUF edge
  • Completion over expectedBUF edge
Trenches41MIASTRONGBUF+1859BUFMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBUF edge
  • Pass protectionBUF edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBUF edge
  • Stuff creationBUF edge
  • Pressure creationBUF edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBUF edge
Explosive45MIACLEARBUF+1156BUFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBUF edge
  • Explosive passesBUF edge
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBUF edge
  • Explosive preventionBUF edge
Resilience46MIACLEARBUF+1157BUFHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBUF edge
  • Defensive responseBUF edge
  • Momentum reversalBUF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBUF edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
MIAOFFENSEvsBUFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS56%SEASONBUF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONMIA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)44%SEASONBUF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIARED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS7EMPTY1+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BUFOFFENSEvsMIADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBUF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS71%SEASONMIA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONBUF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONMIA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BUFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS9EMPTY0+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BUF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MIA 7, BUF 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.