Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
U.S. BANK STADIUM · MINNEAPOLIS, MN

Visitors 393 total, 245 passing, 148 rushing. Home 279 total, 166 passing, 114 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB41BUFSLIGHTMIN+849MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMIN edge
  • Dropback successMIN edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceMIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceMIN edge
Rush57BUFCLEARBUF+1146MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABUF edge
  • Rush successBUF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBUF edge
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Short yardageMIN edge
Pass43BUFSLIGHTMIN+649MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMIN edge
  • Pass successMIN edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • ProtectionMIN edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches49BUFEVEN+251MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBUF edge
  • Pass protectionMIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMIN edge
  • Stuff creationBUF edge
  • Pressure creationMIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMIN edge
Explosive52BUFEVEN+349MINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBUF edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBUF edge
  • Explosive preventionBUF edge
Resilience57BUFEVEN+255MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBUF edge
  • Defensive responseMIN edge
  • Momentum reversalBUF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMIN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMIN edge
BUFOFFENSEvsMINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBUF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS71%SEASONMIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS25%SEASONBUF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONMIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)50%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BUFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS9EMPTY0+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BUF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MINOFFENSEvsBUFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)16TRIPS56%SEASONBUF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONMIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONBUF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MINRED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BUF 7, MIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.