Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
M&T BANK STADIUM · BALTIMORE, MD

Visitors 328 total, 211 passing, 118 rushing. Home 339 total, 205 passing, 134 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48PITEVEN+443BALHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackPIT edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedPIT edge
  • Turnover avoidancePIT edge
  • Sack avoidancePIT edge
Rush56PITCLEARPIT+1739BALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAPIT edge
  • Rush successPIT edge
  • Stuff avoidancePIT edge
  • Explosive runsPIT edge
  • Short yardagePIT edge
Pass48PITEVEN+443BALHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesPIT edge
  • ProtectionPIT edge
  • Completion over expectedPIT edge
Trenches58PITCLEARPIT+1642BALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPIT edge
  • Pass protectionPIT edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPIT edge
  • Stuff creationPIT edge
  • Pressure creationPIT edge
  • Short-yardage defensePIT edge
Explosive52PITEVEN+547BALHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play ratePIT edge
  • Explosive passesPIT edge
  • Explosive runsPIT edge
  • Breakaway magnitudePIT edge
  • Explosive preventionPIT edge
Resilience48PITSLIGHTPIT+641BALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responsePIT edge
  • Defensive responsePIT edge
  • Momentum reversalPIT edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBAL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceBAL edge
PITOFFENSEvsBALDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPIT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS50%SEASONBAL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONPIT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)42%SEASONBAL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PITRED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS10EMPTY2+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PIT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BALOFFENSEvsPITDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONPIT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS38%SEASONBAL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONPIT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BALRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4940%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (PIT 8, BAL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.