Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
METLIFE STADIUM · EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ

Visitors 273 total, 180 passing, 93 rushing. Home 320 total, 215 passing, 105 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56DENSLIGHTDEN+551NYJHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackDEN edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedNYJ edge
  • Turnover avoidanceDEN edge
  • Sack avoidanceDEN edge
Rush47DENSLIGHTNYJ+653NYJMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANYJ edge
  • Rush successNYJ edge
  • Stuff avoidanceDEN edge
  • Explosive runsNYJ edge
  • Short yardageDEN edge
Pass50DENEVEN+151NYJHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesNYJ edge
  • ProtectionDEN edge
  • Completion over expectedNYJ edge
Trenches57DENCLEARDEN+1443NYJMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlDEN edge
  • Pass protectionDEN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingDEN edge
  • Stuff creationDEN edge
  • Pressure creationDEN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseDEN edge
Explosive40DENSTRONGNYJ+2060NYJHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNYJ edge
  • Explosive passesNYJ edge
  • Explosive runsNYJ edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNYJ edge
  • Explosive preventionNYJ edge
Resilience49DENEVEN+352NYJHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNYJ edge
  • Defensive responseNYJ edge
  • Momentum reversalNYJ edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNYJ edge
  • Mistake avoidanceDEN edge
DENOFFENSEvsNYJDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEDEN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONNYJ RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONDEN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)26%SEASONNYJ FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)DENRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | DEN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4971%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NYJOFFENSEvsDENDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENYJ RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS42%SEASONDEN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONNYJ SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)50%SEASONDEN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NYJRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS13EMPTY2+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NYJ KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (DEN 8, NYJ 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.