Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
HARD ROCK STADIUM · MIAMI GARDENS, FL

Visitors 320 total, 215 passing, 105 rushing. Home 290 total, 167 passing, 123 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB63NYJSLIGHTNYJ+855MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNYJ edge
  • Dropback successNYJ edge
  • Completion over expectedNYJ edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIA edge
  • Sack avoidanceNYJ edge
Rush58NYJCLEARNYJ+1543MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANYJ edge
  • Rush successNYJ edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNYJ edge
  • Explosive runsNYJ edge
  • Short yardageNYJ edge
Pass64NYJCLEARNYJ+1251MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANYJ edge
  • Pass successNYJ edge
  • Explosive passesNYJ edge
  • ProtectionNYJ edge
  • Completion over expectedNYJ edge
Trenches55NYJSLIGHTNYJ+945MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNYJ edge
  • Pass protectionNYJ edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNYJ edge
  • Stuff creationNYJ edge
  • Pressure creationNYJ edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNYJ edge
Explosive62NYJSTRONGNYJ+2339MIAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNYJ edge
  • Explosive passesNYJ edge
  • Explosive runsNYJ edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNYJ edge
  • Explosive preventionNYJ edge
Resilience52NYJSLIGHTNYJ+646MIAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNYJ edge
  • Defensive responseNYJ edge
  • Momentum reversalNYJ edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceNYJ edge
NYJOFFENSEvsMIADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENYJ RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS42%SEASONMIA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONNYJ SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)50%SEASONMIA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NYJRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS13EMPTY2+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NYJ KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MIAOFFENSEvsNYJDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS56%SEASONNYJ RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONMIA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)44%SEASONNYJ FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIARED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS7EMPTY1+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NYJ 8, MIA 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.