Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
LUCAS OIL STADIUM · INDIANAPOLIS, IN

Visitors 369 total, 288 passing, 80 rushing. Home 291 total, 175 passing, 117 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB60CINSTRONGCIN+1942INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCIN edge
  • Dropback successCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceCIN edge
Rush54CINEVEN+450INDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAIND edge
  • Rush successCIN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCIN edge
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass62CINCLEARCIN+1646INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACIN edge
  • Pass successCIN edge
  • Explosive passesCIN edge
  • ProtectionCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
Trenches59CINSTRONGCIN+1941INDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCIN edge
  • Pass protectionCIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationCIN edge
  • Pressure creationCIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive55CINSLIGHTCIN+847INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateCIN edge
  • Explosive passesCIN edge
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeCIN edge
  • Explosive preventionCIN edge
Resilience55CINEVEN+451INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseCIN edge
  • Momentum reversalCIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksIND edge
  • Mistake avoidanceIND edge
CINOFFENSEvsINDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS68%SEASONIND RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONCIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONIND FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CINRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49—50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)INDOFFENSEvsCINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEIND RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS59%SEASONCIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS42%SEASONIND SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONCIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)INDRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | IND KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4988%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CIN 7, IND 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.