Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
CAESARS SUPERDOME · NEW ORLEANS, LA

Visitors 302 total, 204 passing, 98 rushing. Home 316 total, 230 passing, 86 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48CLESLIGHTCLE+543NOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCLE edge
  • Dropback successCLE edge
  • Completion over expectedCLE edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCLE edge
  • Sack avoidanceNO edge
Rush53CLEEVEN+548NOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPACLE edge
  • Rush successCLE edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCLE edge
  • Explosive runsNO edge
  • Short yardageNO edge
Pass48CLESLIGHTCLE+543NOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACLE edge
  • Pass successCLE edge
  • Explosive passesCLE edge
  • ProtectionNO edge
  • Completion over expectedCLE edge
Trenches49CLEEVEN+251NOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCLE edge
  • Pass protectionNO edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNO edge
  • Stuff creationCLE edge
  • Pressure creationNO edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNO edge
Explosive51CLEEVEN+349NOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateCLE edge
  • Explosive passesCLE edge
  • Explosive runsNO edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeCLE edge
  • Explosive preventionCLE edge
Resilience51CLESLIGHTCLE+1042NOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCLE edge
  • Defensive responseCLE edge
  • Momentum reversalCLE edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCLE edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCLE edge
CLEOFFENSEvsNODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECLE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)21TRIPS43%SEASONNO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS55%SEASONCLE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)38%SEASONNO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CLERED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS8EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CLE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NOOFFENSEvsCLEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS78%SEASONCLE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS48%SEASONNO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONCLE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NORED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS4EMPTY1+1 TD FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+43%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CLE 8, NO 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.