Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
U.S. BANK STADIUM · MINNEAPOLIS, MN

Visitors 364 total, 262 passing, 102 rushing. Home 279 total, 166 passing, 114 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB33CARCLEARMIN+1649MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMIN edge
  • Dropback successMIN edge
  • Completion over expectedMIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceMIN edge
Rush53CAREVEN+351MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPACAR edge
  • Rush successCAR edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMIN edge
  • Explosive runsCAR edge
  • Short yardageMIN edge
Pass34CARCLEARMIN+1246MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMIN edge
  • Pass successMIN edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • ProtectionMIN edge
  • Completion over expectedMIN edge
Trenches41CARCLEARMIN+1759MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMIN edge
  • Pass protectionMIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMIN edge
  • Stuff creationMIN edge
  • Pressure creationMIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMIN edge
Explosive50CAREVEN+248MINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateCAR edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • Explosive runsCAR edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionCAR edge
Resilience52CAREVEN+355MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseMIN edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMIN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMIN edge
CAROFFENSEvsMINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECAR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONMIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS25%SEASONCAR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONMIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)50%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CARRED ZONETRIPS / G3.7TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CAR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MINOFFENSEvsCARDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)16TRIPS56%SEASONCAR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS80%SEASONMIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONCAR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)10%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MINRED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CAR 7, MIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.