Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
ARROWHEAD STADIUM · KANSAS CITY, MO

Visitors 371 total, 244 passing, 127 rushing. Home 383 total, 249 passing, 134 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56SFEVEN+157KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackSF edge
  • Dropback successSF edge
  • Completion over expectedKC edge
  • Turnover avoidanceKC edge
  • Sack avoidanceSF edge
Rush53SFEVEN+153KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPASF edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceKC edge
  • Explosive runsSF edge
  • Short yardageSF edge
Pass56SFEVEN+353KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successSF edge
  • Explosive passesSF edge
  • ProtectionSF edge
  • Completion over expectedKC edge
Trenches50SFEVEN+150KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlKC edge
  • Pass protectionSF edge
  • Short-yardage blockingSF edge
  • Stuff creationKC edge
  • Pressure creationSF edge
  • Short-yardage defenseSF edge
Explosive55SFSLIGHTSF+945KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateSF edge
  • Explosive passesSF edge
  • Explosive runsSF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeSF edge
  • Explosive preventionSF edge
Resilience45SFSLIGHTKC+650KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseKC edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksSF edge
  • Mistake avoidanceKC edge
SFOFFENSEvsKCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATESF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS86%SEASONKC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS39%SEASONSF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONKC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)SFRED ZONETRIPS / G3.1TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS3EMPTY0+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | SF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+40%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)KCOFFENSEvsSFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEKC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONSF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS48%SEASONKC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONSF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)KCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.7TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | KC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+29%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (SF 7, KC 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.