Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
LUCAS OIL STADIUM · INDIANAPOLIS, IN

Visitors 290 total, 167 passing, 123 rushing. Home 291 total, 175 passing, 117 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB46MIAEVEN+451INDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMIA edge
  • Dropback successIND edge
  • Completion over expectedIND edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIA edge
  • Sack avoidanceIND edge
Rush51MIASLIGHTIND+658INDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successIND edge
  • Stuff avoidanceIND edge
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Short yardageIND edge
Pass46MIAEVEN+350INDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMIA edge
  • Pass successIND edge
  • Explosive passesMIA edge
  • ProtectionIND edge
  • Completion over expectedIND edge
Trenches47MIASLIGHTIND+653INDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlIND edge
  • Pass protectionIND edge
  • Short-yardage blockingIND edge
  • Stuff creationIND edge
  • Pressure creationIND edge
  • Short-yardage defenseIND edge
Explosive52MIASLIGHTMIA+647INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMIA edge
  • Explosive passesMIA edge
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMIA edge
  • Explosive preventionMIA edge
Resilience46MIAEVEN+451INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseIND edge
  • Defensive responseIND edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksIND edge
  • Mistake avoidanceIND edge
MIAOFFENSEvsINDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS56%SEASONIND RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONMIA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)44%SEASONIND FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIARED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS7EMPTY1+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)INDOFFENSEvsMIADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEIND RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS59%SEASONMIA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONIND SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONMIA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)INDRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | IND KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4988%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MIA 7, IND 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.