Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
LINCOLN FINANCIAL FIELD · PHILADELPHIA, PA

Visitors 338 total, 253 passing, 85 rushing. Home 265 total, 177 passing, 88 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB58HOUCLEARHOU+1642PHIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackHOU edge
  • Dropback successHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceHOU edge
  • Sack avoidanceHOU edge
Rush53HOUEVEN+250PHIMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAHOU edge
  • Rush successPHI edge
  • Stuff avoidanceHOU edge
  • Explosive runsHOU edge
  • Short yardagePHI edge
Pass58HOUCLEARHOU+1543PHIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAHOU edge
  • Pass successHOU edge
  • Explosive passesHOU edge
  • ProtectionHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
Trenches55HOUCLEARHOU+1145PHIMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlHOU edge
  • Pass protectionHOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPHI edge
  • Stuff creationHOU edge
  • Pressure creationHOU edge
  • Short-yardage defensePHI edge
Explosive56HOUCLEARHOU+1146PHIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateHOU edge
  • Explosive passesHOU edge
  • Explosive runsHOU edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeHOU edge
  • Explosive preventionHOU edge
Resilience52HOUSLIGHTHOU+845PHIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseHOU edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalHOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksPHI edge
  • Mistake avoidanceHOU edge
HOUOFFENSEvsPHIDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONPHI RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)32TRIPS56%SEASONHOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONPHI FORCED FG(DEFENSE)25%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)PHIOFFENSEvsHOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPHI RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)21TRIPS71%SEASONHOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONPHI SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONHOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PHIRED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS2EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PHI KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (HOU 7, PHI 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.