Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
ARROWHEAD STADIUM · KANSAS CITY, MO

Visitors 320 total, 215 passing, 105 rushing. Home 383 total, 249 passing, 134 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB53NYJSLIGHTKC+1063KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackKC edge
  • Dropback successKC edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceKC edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush48NYJEVEN+351KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAKC edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceKC edge
  • Explosive runsNYJ edge
  • Short yardageNYJ edge
Pass54NYJEVEN+459KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAKC edge
  • Pass successKC edge
  • Explosive passesNYJ edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches48NYJEVEN+352KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlKC edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingNYJ edge
  • Stuff creationKC edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseNYJ edge
Explosive57NYJCLEARNYJ+1246KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNYJ edge
  • Explosive passesNYJ edge
  • Explosive runsNYJ edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNYJ edge
  • Explosive preventionNYJ edge
Resilience52NYJEVEN+250KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNYJ edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalNYJ edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksKC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceKC edge
NYJOFFENSEvsKCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENYJ RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS42%SEASONKC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS39%SEASONNYJ SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)50%SEASONKC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NYJRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS13EMPTY2+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NYJ KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)KCOFFENSEvsNYJDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEKC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONNYJ RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONKC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONNYJ FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)KCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.7TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | KC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+29%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NYJ 8, KC 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.