Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
RELIANT STADIUM · HOUSTON, TX

Visitors 273 total, 173 passing, 100 rushing. Home 338 total, 253 passing, 85 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47TENCLEARHOU+1562HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackHOU edge
  • Dropback successHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceHOU edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush55TENSLIGHTTEN+946HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATEN edge
  • Rush successTEN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTEN edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageTEN edge
Pass49TENCLEARHOU+1463HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAHOU edge
  • Pass successHOU edge
  • Explosive passesHOU edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
Trenches54TENSLIGHTTEN+946HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTEN edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingTEN edge
  • Stuff creationTEN edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseTEN edge
Explosive47TENSLIGHTHOU+1057HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateHOU edge
  • Explosive passesHOU edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeHOU edge
  • Explosive preventionHOU edge
Resilience45TENSLIGHTHOU+852HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseHOU edge
  • Defensive responseHOU edge
  • Momentum reversalHOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTEN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTEN edge
TENOFFENSEvsHOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETEN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS52%SEASONHOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONTEN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONHOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TENRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TEN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)HOUOFFENSEvsTENDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONTEN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONHOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONTEN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TEN 8, HOU 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.