Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
PAYCOR STADIUM · CINCINNATI, OH

Visitors 339 total, 205 passing, 134 rushing. Home 369 total, 288 passing, 80 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49BALCLEARCIN+1564CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCIN edge
  • Dropback successCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceCIN edge
Rush46BALEVEN+248CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABAL edge
  • Rush successBAL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCIN edge
  • Explosive runsBAL edge
  • Short yardageCIN edge
Pass53BALCLEARCIN+1265CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACIN edge
  • Pass successCIN edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
Trenches40BALSTRONGCIN+2060CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCIN edge
  • Pass protectionCIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingCIN edge
  • Stuff creationCIN edge
  • Pressure creationCIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseCIN edge
Explosive55BALSLIGHTBAL+748CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBAL edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsBAL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBAL edge
  • Explosive preventionBAL edge
Resilience41BALCLEARCIN+1455CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCIN edge
  • Defensive responseCIN edge
  • Momentum reversalCIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceBAL edge
BALOFFENSEvsCINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONCIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS42%SEASONBAL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONCIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BALRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4940%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CINOFFENSEvsBALDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS68%SEASONBAL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONCIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONBAL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CINRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49—50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BAL 8, CIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.