Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
PAYCOR STADIUM · CINCINNATI, OH

Visitors 383 total, 249 passing, 134 rushing. Home 369 total, 288 passing, 80 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56KCEVEN+561CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCIN edge
  • Dropback successKC edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceCIN edge
Rush52KCSLIGHTKC+744CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAKC edge
  • Rush successKC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCIN edge
  • Explosive runsKC edge
  • Short yardageCIN edge
Pass59KCEVEN+362CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successKC edge
  • Explosive passesCIN edge
  • ProtectionCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
Trenches44KCCLEARCIN+1356CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCIN edge
  • Pass protectionCIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingCIN edge
  • Stuff creationCIN edge
  • Pressure creationCIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseCIN edge
Explosive56KCSLIGHTKC+848CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateKC edge
  • Explosive passesCIN edge
  • Explosive runsKC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeKC edge
  • Explosive preventionKC edge
Resilience50KCEVEN+455CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCIN edge
  • Defensive responseCIN edge
  • Momentum reversalCIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksKC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceKC edge
KCOFFENSEvsCINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEKC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONCIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS42%SEASONKC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONCIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)KCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.7TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | KC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+29%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CINOFFENSEvsKCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS68%SEASONKC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS39%SEASONCIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONKC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CINRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49—50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (KC 7, CIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.