Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM · ATLANTA, GA

Visitors 383 total, 249 passing, 134 rushing. Home 323 total, 188 passing, 135 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB54KCCLEARKC+1242ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackKC edge
  • Dropback successKC edge
  • Completion over expectedKC edge
  • Turnover avoidanceKC edge
  • Sack avoidanceATL edge
Rush60KCCLEARKC+1545ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAKC edge
  • Rush successKC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsKC edge
  • Short yardageKC edge
Pass53KCSLIGHTKC+845ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAKC edge
  • Pass successKC edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionATL edge
  • Completion over expectedKC edge
Trenches50KCEVEN+150ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionATL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingKC edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationATL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseKC edge
Explosive56KCCLEARKC+1146ATLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateKC edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsKC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeKC edge
  • Explosive preventionKC edge
Resilience50KCEVEN+149ATLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseKC edge
  • Defensive responseKC edge
  • Momentum reversalATL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksATL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceATL edge
KCOFFENSEvsATLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEKC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONATL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS63%SEASONKC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONATL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)KCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.7TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | KC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+29%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ATLOFFENSEvsKCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEATL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONKC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS39%SEASONATL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONKC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ATLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ATL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (KC 7, ATL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.