Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
GILLETTE STADIUM · FOXBOROUGH, MA

Visitors 290 total, 167 passing, 123 rushing. Home 367 total, 244 passing, 123 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49MIACLEARNE+1867NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNE edge
  • Dropback successNE edge
  • Completion over expectedNE edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIA edge
  • Sack avoidanceNE edge
Rush43MIACLEARNE+1155NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANE edge
  • Rush successNE edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNE edge
  • Explosive runsMIA edge
  • Short yardageNE edge
Pass48MIACLEARNE+1866NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANE edge
  • Pass successNE edge
  • Explosive passesNE edge
  • ProtectionNE edge
  • Completion over expectedNE edge
Trenches39MIASTRONGNE+2361NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNE edge
  • Pass protectionNE edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNE edge
  • Stuff creationNE edge
  • Pressure creationNE edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNE edge
Explosive48MIAEVEN+553NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNE edge
  • Explosive passesNE edge
  • Explosive runsMIA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNE edge
  • Explosive preventionNE edge
Resilience46MIASLIGHTNE+754NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNE edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalNE edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNE edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNE edge
MIAOFFENSEvsNEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS56%SEASONNE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS54%SEASONMIA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)44%SEASONNE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIARED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS7EMPTY1+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NEOFFENSEvsMIADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONMIA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONNE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONMIA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NERED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4960%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (MIA 7, NE 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.