Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
STATE FARM STADIUM · GLENDALE, AZ

Visitors 320 total, 215 passing, 105 rushing. Home 333 total, 224 passing, 109 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56NYJEVEN+156ARIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNYJ edge
  • Dropback successARI edge
  • Completion over expectedNYJ edge
  • Turnover avoidanceARI edge
  • Sack avoidanceARI edge
Rush51NYJSLIGHTNYJ+545ARIMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successNYJ edge
  • Stuff avoidanceNYJ edge
  • Explosive runsNYJ edge
  • Short yardageARI edge
Pass57NYJSLIGHTNYJ+651ARIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANYJ edge
  • Pass successARI edge
  • Explosive passesNYJ edge
  • ProtectionARI edge
  • Completion over expectedNYJ edge
Trenches48NYJEVEN+352ARIMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlNYJ edge
  • Pass protectionARI edge
  • Short-yardage blockingARI edge
  • Stuff creationNYJ edge
  • Pressure creationARI edge
  • Short-yardage defenseARI edge
Explosive64NYJDOMINANTNYJ+2737ARIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNYJ edge
  • Explosive passesNYJ edge
  • Explosive runsNYJ edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNYJ edge
  • Explosive preventionNYJ edge
Resilience52NYJSLIGHTNYJ+646ARIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNYJ edge
  • Defensive responseNYJ edge
  • Momentum reversalNYJ edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceARI edge
NYJOFFENSEvsARIDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENYJ RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS42%SEASONARI RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS64%SEASONNYJ SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)50%SEASONARI FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NYJRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS11FIELD GOALS13EMPTY2+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NYJ KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4975%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ARIOFFENSEvsNYJDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARI RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS45%SEASONNYJ RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONARI SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)42%SEASONNYJ FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARIRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS14EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARI KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NYJ 8, ARI 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.