Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
RELIANT STADIUM · HOUSTON, TX

Visitors 291 total, 175 passing, 117 rushing. Home 338 total, 253 passing, 85 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB41INDCLEARHOU+1354HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackHOU edge
  • Dropback successHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceHOU edge
  • Sack avoidanceHOU edge
Rush59INDSLIGHTIND+851HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAIND edge
  • Rush successIND edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Short yardageIND edge
Pass43INDCLEARHOU+1254HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAHOU edge
  • Pass successHOU edge
  • Explosive passesHOU edge
  • ProtectionHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
Trenches49INDEVEN+351HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionHOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingIND edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationHOU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseIND edge
Explosive48INDSLIGHTHOU+654HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateHOU edge
  • Explosive passesHOU edge
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeHOU edge
  • Explosive preventionHOU edge
Resilience51INDEVEN+252HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseHOU edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalHOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksIND edge
  • Mistake avoidanceIND edge
INDOFFENSEvsHOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEIND RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS59%SEASONHOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONIND SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONHOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)INDRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | IND KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4988%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)HOUOFFENSEvsINDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONIND RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONHOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONIND FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (IND 8, HOU 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.