Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
NORTHWEST STADIUM · LANDOVER, MD

Visitors 323 total, 188 passing, 135 rushing. Home 327 total, 201 passing, 127 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB43ATLSLIGHTWAS+649WASMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWAS edge
  • Dropback successATL edge
  • Completion over expectedWAS edge
  • Turnover avoidanceWAS edge
  • Sack avoidanceATL edge
Rush51ATLEVEN+152WASMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAATL edge
  • Rush successATL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceATL edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Short yardageWAS edge
Pass45ATLEVEN+247WASMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWAS edge
  • Pass successATL edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionATL edge
  • Completion over expectedWAS edge
Trenches51ATLEVEN+249WASMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlATL edge
  • Pass protectionATL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingWAS edge
  • Stuff creationATL edge
  • Pressure creationATL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseWAS edge
Explosive46ATLSLIGHTWAS+753WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWAS edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWAS edge
  • Explosive preventionWAS edge
Resilience49ATLEVEN+049WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseWAS edge
  • Defensive responseATL edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksATL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceATL edge
ATLOFFENSEvsWASDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEATL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONWAS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS79%SEASONATL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONWAS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ATLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ATL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)WASOFFENSEvsATLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWAS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS53%SEASONATL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS63%SEASONWAS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONATL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WASRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WAS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ATL 8, WAS 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.