Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
U.S. BANK STADIUM · MINNEAPOLIS, MN

Visitors 323 total, 188 passing, 135 rushing. Home 279 total, 166 passing, 114 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB29ATLCLEARMIN+1746MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMIN edge
  • Dropback successMIN edge
  • Completion over expectedMIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceMIN edge
Rush50ATLEVEN+252MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAATL edge
  • Rush successMIN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageMIN edge
Pass33ATLCLEARMIN+1245MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMIN edge
  • Pass successMIN edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • ProtectionMIN edge
  • Completion over expectedMIN edge
Trenches46ATLSLIGHTMIN+854MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionMIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMIN edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationMIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMIN edge
Explosive46ATLSLIGHTMIN+854MINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMIN edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeMIN edge
  • Explosive preventionMIN edge
Resilience49ATLSLIGHTMIN+655MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseMIN edge
  • Defensive responseMIN edge
  • Momentum reversalMIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMIN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceATL edge
ATLOFFENSEvsMINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEATL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONMIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS25%SEASONATL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONMIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)50%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ATLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ATL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MINOFFENSEvsATLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)16TRIPS56%SEASONATL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS63%SEASONMIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONATL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MINRED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ATL 8, MIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.