Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
ALLEGIANT STADIUM · LAS VEGAS, NV

Visitors 273 total, 173 passing, 100 rushing. Home 342 total, 265 passing, 77 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55TENSLIGHTLV+762LVHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLV edge
  • Dropback successLV edge
  • Completion over expectedLV edge
  • Turnover avoidanceLV edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush61TENSTRONGTEN+2041LVMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATEN edge
  • Rush successTEN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTEN edge
  • Explosive runsTEN edge
  • Short yardageTEN edge
Pass57TENSLIGHTLV+865LVHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALV edge
  • Pass successLV edge
  • Explosive passesLV edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedLV edge
Trenches56TENCLEARTEN+1244LVMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTEN edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingTEN edge
  • Stuff creationTEN edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseTEN edge
Explosive52TENEVEN+053LVHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesLV edge
  • Explosive runsTEN edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience45TENCLEARLV+1156LVHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseLV edge
  • Defensive responseLV edge
  • Momentum reversalLV edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLV edge
  • Mistake avoidanceLV edge
TENOFFENSEvsLVDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETEN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS52%SEASONLV RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)34TRIPS71%SEASONTEN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONLV FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TENRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TEN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)LVOFFENSEvsTENDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELV RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS52%SEASONTEN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONLV SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)36%SEASONTEN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LVRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS17FIELD GOALS12EMPTY4+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LV KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4986%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TEN 8, LV 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.