Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
LAMBEAU FIELD · GREEN BAY, WI

Visitors 393 total, 245 passing, 148 rushing. Home 332 total, 271 passing, 61 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49BUFSLIGHTGB+654GBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackGB edge
  • Dropback successGB edge
  • Completion over expectedBUF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceGB edge
  • Sack avoidanceGB edge
Rush55BUFCLEARBUF+1144GBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABUF edge
  • Rush successBUF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBUF edge
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Short yardageGB edge
Pass50BUFEVEN+554GBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAGB edge
  • Pass successGB edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionGB edge
  • Completion over expectedBUF edge
Trenches49BUFEVEN+251GBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBUF edge
  • Pass protectionGB edge
  • Short-yardage blockingGB edge
  • Stuff creationBUF edge
  • Pressure creationGB edge
  • Short-yardage defenseGB edge
Explosive52BUFEVEN+448GBHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBUF edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBUF edge
  • Explosive preventionBUF edge
Resilience57BUFSLIGHTBUF+651GBHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBUF edge
  • Defensive responseGB edge
  • Momentum reversalBUF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksGB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceGB edge
BUFOFFENSEvsGBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBUF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS71%SEASONGB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS67%SEASONBUF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONGB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BUFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS9EMPTY0+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BUF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)GBOFFENSEvsBUFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS52%SEASONBUF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONGB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)28%SEASONBUF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GBRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY8+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 3967%40 - 4950%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BUF 7, GB 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.