Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
RELIANT STADIUM · HOUSTON, TX

Visitors 339 total, 205 passing, 134 rushing. Home 338 total, 253 passing, 85 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47BALCLEARHOU+1057HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackHOU edge
  • Dropback successHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceHOU edge
  • Sack avoidanceHOU edge
Rush55BALCLEARBAL+1144HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABAL edge
  • Rush successBAL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceBAL edge
  • Explosive runsBAL edge
  • Short yardageBAL edge
Pass50BALSLIGHTHOU+757HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAHOU edge
  • Pass successHOU edge
  • Explosive passesBAL edge
  • ProtectionHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
Trenches48BALEVEN+452HOUMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlBAL edge
  • Pass protectionHOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBAL edge
  • Stuff creationBAL edge
  • Pressure creationHOU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBAL edge
Explosive56BALSLIGHTBAL+1046HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBAL edge
  • Explosive passesBAL edge
  • Explosive runsBAL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBAL edge
  • Explosive preventionBAL edge
Resilience41BALCLEARHOU+1152HOUHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseHOU edge
  • Defensive responseHOU edge
  • Momentum reversalHOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBAL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceBAL edge
BALOFFENSEvsHOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONHOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONBAL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONHOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BALRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4940%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)HOUOFFENSEvsBALDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONBAL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONHOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONBAL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BAL 8, HOU 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.