Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
CAESARS SUPERDOME · NEW ORLEANS, LA

Visitors 332 total, 271 passing, 61 rushing. Home 316 total, 230 passing, 86 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55GBCLEARGB+1243NOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackGB edge
  • Dropback successGB edge
  • Completion over expectedGB edge
  • Turnover avoidanceGB edge
  • Sack avoidanceGB edge
Rush52GBSLIGHTGB+1043NOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAGB edge
  • Rush successGB edge
  • Stuff avoidanceGB edge
  • Explosive runsGB edge
  • Short yardageGB edge
Pass55GBCLEARGB+1243NOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAGB edge
  • Pass successGB edge
  • Explosive passesGB edge
  • ProtectionGB edge
  • Completion over expectedGB edge
Trenches54GBSLIGHTGB+846NOMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlGB edge
  • Pass protectionGB edge
  • Short-yardage blockingGB edge
  • Stuff creationGB edge
  • Pressure creationGB edge
  • Short-yardage defenseGB edge
Explosive57GBCLEARGB+1740NOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateGB edge
  • Explosive passesGB edge
  • Explosive runsGB edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeGB edge
  • Explosive preventionGB edge
Resilience51GBSLIGHTGB+1042NOHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseGB edge
  • Momentum reversalGB edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksGB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceGB edge
GBOFFENSEvsNODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEGB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS52%SEASONNO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS55%SEASONGB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)28%SEASONNO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)GBRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY8+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | GB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2980%30 - 3967%40 - 4950%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NOOFFENSEvsGBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS78%SEASONGB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS67%SEASONNO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONGB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)15%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NORED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS4EMPTY1+1 TD FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+43%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (GB 8, NO 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.