Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
U.S. BANK STADIUM · MINNEAPOLIS, MN

Visitors 327 total, 201 passing, 127 rushing. Home 279 total, 166 passing, 114 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB37WASCLEARMIN+1148MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMIN edge
  • Dropback successMIN edge
  • Completion over expectedMIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceMIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceMIN edge
Rush48WASEVEN+048MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWAS edge
  • Rush successMIN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMIN edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Short yardageMIN edge
Pass36WASCLEARMIN+1146MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMIN edge
  • Pass successMIN edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • ProtectionMIN edge
  • Completion over expectedMIN edge
Trenches45WASCLEARMIN+1155MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMIN edge
  • Pass protectionMIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingMIN edge
  • Stuff creationMIN edge
  • Pressure creationMIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseMIN edge
Explosive48WASEVEN+149MINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience49WASSLIGHTMIN+655MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseWAS edge
  • Defensive responseMIN edge
  • Momentum reversalMIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMIN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
WASOFFENSEvsMINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWAS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS53%SEASONMIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS25%SEASONWAS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONMIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)50%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WASRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WAS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MINOFFENSEvsWASDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)16TRIPS56%SEASONWAS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS79%SEASONMIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONWAS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MINRED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WAS 7, MIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.