Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM · ATLANTA, GA

Visitors 316 total, 230 passing, 86 rushing. Home 323 total, 188 passing, 135 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48NOEVEN+345ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNO edge
  • Dropback successATL edge
  • Completion over expectedNO edge
  • Turnover avoidanceNO edge
  • Sack avoidanceNO edge
Rush50NOSLIGHTATL+858ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAATL edge
  • Rush successATL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceATL edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Short yardageNO edge
Pass47NOEVEN+148ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANO edge
  • Pass successATL edge
  • Explosive passesATL edge
  • ProtectionNO edge
  • Completion over expectedNO edge
Trenches50NOEVEN+050ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlATL edge
  • Pass protectionNO edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNO edge
  • Stuff creationATL edge
  • Pressure creationNO edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNO edge
Explosive45NOSLIGHTATL+1055ATLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateATL edge
  • Explosive passesATL edge
  • Explosive runsEven
  • Breakaway magnitudeATL edge
  • Explosive preventionATL edge
Resilience42NOSLIGHTATL+749ATLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNO edge
  • Defensive responseATL edge
  • Momentum reversalATL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksATL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceATL edge
NOOFFENSEvsATLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS78%SEASONATL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS63%SEASONNO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONATL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NORED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS4EMPTY1+1 TD FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+43%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ATLOFFENSEvsNODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEATL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONNO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS55%SEASONATL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONNO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ATLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ATL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NO 7, ATL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.