Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM · CHARLOTTE, NC

Visitors 323 total, 188 passing, 135 rushing. Home 364 total, 262 passing, 102 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB44ATLEVEN+245CARMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCAR edge
  • Dropback successATL edge
  • Completion over expectedCAR edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCAR edge
  • Sack avoidanceATL edge
Rush53ATLEVEN+458CARMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAATL edge
  • Rush successCAR edge
  • Stuff avoidanceATL edge
  • Explosive runsCAR edge
  • Short yardageCAR edge
Pass44ATLEVEN+145CARMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACAR edge
  • Pass successATL edge
  • Explosive passesCAR edge
  • ProtectionATL edge
  • Completion over expectedCAR edge
Trenches54ATLSLIGHTATL+946CARMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlATL edge
  • Pass protectionATL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingCAR edge
  • Stuff creationATL edge
  • Pressure creationATL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseCAR edge
Explosive45ATLCLEARCAR+1055CARHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateCAR edge
  • Explosive passesCAR edge
  • Explosive runsCAR edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeCAR edge
  • Explosive preventionCAR edge
Resilience49ATLEVEN+352CARHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCAR edge
  • Defensive responseATL edge
  • Momentum reversalCAR edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksATL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceATL edge
ATLOFFENSEvsCARDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEATL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONCAR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS80%SEASONATL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONCAR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)10%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ATLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ATL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CAROFFENSEvsATLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECAR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONATL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS63%SEASONCAR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONATL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CARRED ZONETRIPS / G3.7TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CAR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ATL 8, CAR 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.