Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
PAYCOR STADIUM · CINCINNATI, OH

Visitors 316 total, 230 passing, 86 rushing. Home 369 total, 288 passing, 80 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51NOCLEARCIN+1364CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCIN edge
  • Dropback successCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceCIN edge
Rush42NOCLEARCIN+1557CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPACIN edge
  • Rush successCIN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCIN edge
  • Explosive runsCIN edge
  • Short yardageNO edge
Pass53NOCLEARCIN+1265CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACIN edge
  • Pass successCIN edge
  • Explosive passesCIN edge
  • ProtectionCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
Trenches43NOCLEARCIN+1357CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCIN edge
  • Pass protectionCIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingNO edge
  • Stuff creationCIN edge
  • Pressure creationCIN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseNO edge
Explosive45NOCLEARCIN+1357CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateCIN edge
  • Explosive passesCIN edge
  • Explosive runsCIN edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeCIN edge
  • Explosive preventionCIN edge
Resilience42NOCLEARCIN+1355CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCIN edge
  • Defensive responseCIN edge
  • Momentum reversalCIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCIN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCIN edge
NOOFFENSEvsCINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENO RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS78%SEASONCIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS42%SEASONNO SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)17%SEASONCIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NORED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS18FIELD GOALS4EMPTY1+1 TD FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NO KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+43%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CINOFFENSEvsNODEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS68%SEASONNO RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS55%SEASONCIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONNO FORCED FG(DEFENSE)29%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CINRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49—50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (NO 7, CIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.