Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
EMPOWER FIELD AT MILE HIGH · DENVER, CO

Visitors 393 total, 245 passing, 148 rushing. Home 273 total, 180 passing, 93 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB52BUFEVEN+250DENMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackBUF edge
  • Dropback successBUF edge
  • Completion over expectedBUF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceDEN edge
  • Sack avoidanceDEN edge
Rush57BUFSLIGHTBUF+650DENMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABUF edge
  • Rush successBUF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Short yardageBUF edge
Pass52BUFEVEN+348DENMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPABUF edge
  • Pass successBUF edge
  • Explosive passesBUF edge
  • ProtectionDEN edge
  • Completion over expectedBUF edge
Trenches48BUFEVEN+452DENMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionDEN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingBUF edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationDEN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseBUF edge
Explosive54BUFSLIGHTBUF+945DENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBUF edge
  • Explosive passesBUF edge
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBUF edge
  • Explosive preventionBUF edge
Resilience57BUFSLIGHTBUF+849DENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBUF edge
  • Defensive responseBUF edge
  • Momentum reversalBUF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBUF edge
  • Mistake avoidanceDEN edge
BUFOFFENSEvsDENDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBUF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS71%SEASONDEN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONBUF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONDEN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BUFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS9EMPTY0+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BUF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)DENOFFENSEvsBUFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEDEN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONBUF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONDEN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)26%SEASONBUF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)DENRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | DEN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4971%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BUF 7, DEN 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.