Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
NORTHWEST STADIUM · LANDOVER, MD

Visitors 384 total, 259 passing, 126 rushing. Home 327 total, 201 passing, 127 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB54LARSLIGHTLAR+846WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackLAR edge
  • Dropback successLAR edge
  • Completion over expectedLAR edge
  • Turnover avoidanceWAS edge
  • Sack avoidanceLAR edge
Rush60LARSTRONGLAR+2338WASMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPALAR edge
  • Rush successLAR edge
  • Stuff avoidanceLAR edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Short yardageLAR edge
Pass53LARSLIGHTLAR+1043WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPALAR edge
  • Pass successLAR edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionLAR edge
  • Completion over expectedLAR edge
Trenches57LARCLEARLAR+1443WASMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlLAR edge
  • Pass protectionLAR edge
  • Short-yardage blockingLAR edge
  • Stuff creationLAR edge
  • Pressure creationLAR edge
  • Short-yardage defenseLAR edge
Explosive48LAREVEN+149WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWAS edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience48LAREVEN+149WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseWAS edge
  • Defensive responseLAR edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLAR edge
  • Mistake avoidanceWAS edge
LAROFFENSEvsWASDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELAR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)29TRIPS69%SEASONWAS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS79%SEASONLAR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)14%SEASONWAS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LARRED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS4EMPTY5+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LAR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29—30 - 39100%40 - 4957%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)WASOFFENSEvsLARDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWAS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS53%SEASONLAR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS43%SEASONWAS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONLAR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)46%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WASRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WAS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (LAR 8, WAS 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.