Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
U.S. BANK STADIUM · MINNEAPOLIS, MN

Visitors 387 total, 237 passing, 151 rushing. Home 279 total, 166 passing, 114 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB40CHIEVEN+343MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackMIN edge
  • Dropback successCHI edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceMIN edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush50CHISLIGHTCHI+743MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPACHI edge
  • Rush successCHI edge
  • Stuff avoidanceMIN edge
  • Explosive runsCHI edge
  • Short yardageMIN edge
Pass41CHIEVEN+344MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAMIN edge
  • Pass successCHI edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches48CHIEVEN+552MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlMIN edge
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingMIN edge
  • Stuff creationMIN edge
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseMIN edge
Explosive45CHICLEARMIN+1155MINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMIN edge
  • Explosive passesMIN edge
  • Explosive runsCHI edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMIN edge
  • Explosive preventionMIN edge
Resilience50CHIEVEN+555MINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseEven
  • Defensive responseMIN edge
  • Momentum reversalMIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksMIN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceMIN edge
CHIOFFENSEvsMINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECHI RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONMIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS25%SEASONCHI SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONMIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)50%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CHIRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS5EMPTY9+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CHI KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+60%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MINOFFENSEvsCHIDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)16TRIPS56%SEASONCHI RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS52%SEASONMIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)25%SEASONCHI FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MINRED ZONETRIPS / G2.3TOUCHDOWNS9FIELD GOALS4EMPTY3+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+75%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CHI 8, MIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.