Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
MERCEDES-BENZ STADIUM · ATLANTA, GA

Visitors 300 total, 131 passing, 169 rushing. Home 323 total, 188 passing, 135 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB40TBCLEARTB+1029ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTB edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedTB edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTB edge
  • Sack avoidanceATL edge
Rush61TBCLEARTB+1844ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATB edge
  • Rush successTB edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTB edge
  • Explosive runsTB edge
  • Short yardageTB edge
Pass38TBEVEN+335ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATB edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesATL edge
  • ProtectionATL edge
  • Completion over expectedTB edge
Trenches53TBSLIGHTTB+647ATLMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTB edge
  • Pass protectionATL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTB edge
  • Stuff creationTB edge
  • Pressure creationATL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTB edge
Explosive51TBEVEN+447ATLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTB edge
  • Explosive passesATL edge
  • Explosive runsTB edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionTB edge
Resilience49TBEVEN+049ATLHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTB edge
  • Defensive responseATL edge
  • Momentum reversalTB edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceATL edge
TBOFFENSEvsATLDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS50%SEASONATL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS63%SEASONTB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONATL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)20%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TBRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS9EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)ATLOFFENSEvsTBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEATL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS61%SEASONTB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS50%SEASONATL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONTB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ATLRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS14FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ATL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+25%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TB 8, ATL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.