Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
PAYCOR STADIUM · CINCINNATI, OH

Visitors 328 total, 211 passing, 118 rushing. Home 369 total, 288 passing, 80 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB46PITCLEARCIN+1157CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCIN edge
  • Dropback successCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceCIN edge
Rush55PITCLEARPIT+1639CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAPIT edge
  • Rush successPIT edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCIN edge
  • Explosive runsPIT edge
  • Short yardagePIT edge
Pass50PITSLIGHTCIN+857CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACIN edge
  • Pass successCIN edge
  • Explosive passesPIT edge
  • ProtectionCIN edge
  • Completion over expectedCIN edge
Trenches48PITEVEN+452CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCIN edge
  • Pass protectionCIN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPIT edge
  • Stuff creationCIN edge
  • Pressure creationCIN edge
  • Short-yardage defensePIT edge
Explosive56PITCLEARPIT+1244CINHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play ratePIT edge
  • Explosive passesPIT edge
  • Explosive runsPIT edge
  • Breakaway magnitudePIT edge
  • Explosive preventionPIT edge
Resilience48PITSLIGHTCIN+755CINMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCIN edge
  • Defensive responseCIN edge
  • Momentum reversalCIN edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCIN edge
  • Mistake avoidancePIT edge
PITOFFENSEvsCINDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPIT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS50%SEASONCIN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS42%SEASONPIT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)42%SEASONCIN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PITRED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS10EMPTY2+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PIT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CINOFFENSEvsPITDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECIN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)28TRIPS68%SEASONPIT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS38%SEASONCIN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONPIT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CINRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS19FIELD GOALS5EMPTY4+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CIN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49—50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (PIT 8, CIN 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.