Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
SOLDIER FIELD · CHICAGO, IL

Visitors 300 total, 131 passing, 169 rushing. Home 387 total, 237 passing, 151 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB37TBEVEN+441CHIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTB edge
  • Dropback successCHI edge
  • Completion over expectedCHI edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTB edge
  • Sack avoidanceCHI edge
Rush52TBSLIGHTTB+943CHIMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATB edge
  • Rush successTB edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTB edge
  • Explosive runsTB edge
  • Short yardageTB edge
Pass37TBSLIGHTCHI+744CHIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATB edge
  • Pass successCHI edge
  • Explosive passesCHI edge
  • ProtectionCHI edge
  • Completion over expectedCHI edge
Trenches51TBEVEN+349CHIMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTB edge
  • Pass protectionCHI edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTB edge
  • Stuff creationTB edge
  • Pressure creationCHI edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTB edge
Explosive53TBSLIGHTTB+746CHIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTB edge
  • Explosive passesCHI edge
  • Explosive runsTB edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeTB edge
  • Explosive preventionTB edge
Resilience49TBEVEN+150CHIHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCHI edge
  • Defensive responseCHI edge
  • Momentum reversalTB edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
TBOFFENSEvsCHIDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS50%SEASONCHI RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS52%SEASONTB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONCHI FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TBRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS9EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CHIOFFENSEvsTBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECHI RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONTB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS50%SEASONCHI SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONTB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CHIRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS5EMPTY9+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CHI KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+60%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TB 8, CHI 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.