Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
GILLETTE STADIUM · FOXBOROUGH, MA

Visitors 393 total, 245 passing, 148 rushing. Home 367 total, 244 passing, 123 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB56BUFEVEN+258NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackEven
  • Dropback successNE edge
  • Completion over expectedBUF edge
  • Turnover avoidanceBUF edge
  • Sack avoidanceNE edge
Rush53BUFEVEN+449NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPABUF edge
  • Rush successBUF edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass57BUFEVEN+260NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successNE edge
  • Explosive passesBUF edge
  • ProtectionNE edge
  • Completion over expectedBUF edge
Trenches48BUFEVEN+452NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionNE edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationNE edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive55BUFSLIGHTBUF+648NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateBUF edge
  • Explosive passesBUF edge
  • Explosive runsBUF edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeBUF edge
  • Explosive preventionBUF edge
Resilience57BUFEVEN+454NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseBUF edge
  • Defensive responseBUF edge
  • Momentum reversalBUF edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNE edge
  • Mistake avoidanceNE edge
BUFOFFENSEvsNEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBUF RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS71%SEASONNE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS54%SEASONBUF SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)29%SEASONNE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BUFRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS9EMPTY0+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BUF KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NEOFFENSEvsBUFDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONBUF RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS66%SEASONNE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONBUF FORCED FG(DEFENSE)31%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NERED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4960%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BUF 7, NE 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.