Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
BANK OF AMERICA STADIUM · CHARLOTTE, NC

Visitors 339 total, 205 passing, 134 rushing. Home 364 total, 262 passing, 102 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB49BALEVEN+049CARHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCAR edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceEven
  • Sack avoidanceBAL edge
Rush53BALEVEN+251CARMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successBAL edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCAR edge
  • Explosive runsBAL edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass48BALEVEN+149CARHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACAR edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesCAR edge
  • ProtectionBAL edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches51BALEVEN+249CARMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCAR edge
  • Pass protectionBAL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationCAR edge
  • Pressure creationBAL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive50BALEVEN+050CARHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesCAR edge
  • Explosive runsBAL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience41BALCLEARCAR+1152CARHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCAR edge
  • Defensive responseCAR edge
  • Momentum reversalCAR edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCAR edge
  • Mistake avoidanceBAL edge
BALOFFENSEvsCARDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONCAR RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS80%SEASONBAL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONCAR FORCED FG(DEFENSE)10%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BALRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4940%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)CAROFFENSEvsBALDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECAR RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS62%SEASONBAL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONCAR SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONBAL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CARRED ZONETRIPS / G3.7TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS6EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CAR KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (BAL 8, CAR 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.