Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
EVERBANK STADIUM · JACKSONVILLE, FL

Visitors 273 total, 173 passing, 100 rushing. Home 350 total, 227 passing, 123 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB45TENCLEARJAC+1762JACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackJAC edge
  • Dropback successJAC edge
  • Completion over expectedJAC edge
  • Turnover avoidanceJAC edge
  • Sack avoidanceTEN edge
Rush42TENCLEARJAC+1456JACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAJAC edge
  • Rush successJAC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceJAC edge
  • Explosive runsJAC edge
  • Short yardageJAC edge
Pass47TENSTRONGJAC+1967JACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAJAC edge
  • Pass successJAC edge
  • Explosive passesJAC edge
  • ProtectionTEN edge
  • Completion over expectedJAC edge
Trenches49TENEVEN+251JACMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlJAC edge
  • Pass protectionTEN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingJAC edge
  • Stuff creationJAC edge
  • Pressure creationTEN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseJAC edge
Explosive42TENSTRONGJAC+2163JACHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateJAC edge
  • Explosive passesJAC edge
  • Explosive runsJAC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeJAC edge
  • Explosive preventionJAC edge
Resilience45TENSLIGHTJAC+1055JACHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseJAC edge
  • Defensive responseJAC edge
  • Momentum reversalJAC edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTEN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceJAC edge
TENOFFENSEvsJACDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETEN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS52%SEASONJAC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS41%SEASONTEN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONJAC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TENRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TEN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)JACOFFENSEvsTENDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEJAC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONTEN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONJAC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONTEN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)JACRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | JAC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TEN 8, JAC 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.