Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
NORTHWEST STADIUM · LANDOVER, MD

Visitors 338 total, 253 passing, 85 rushing. Home 327 total, 201 passing, 127 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB55HOUEVEN+550WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackHOU edge
  • Dropback successHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
  • Turnover avoidanceWAS edge
  • Sack avoidanceHOU edge
Rush47HOUSLIGHTWAS+653WASMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAWAS edge
  • Rush successHOU edge
  • Stuff avoidanceWAS edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Short yardageWAS edge
Pass54HOUEVEN+550WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAHOU edge
  • Pass successHOU edge
  • Explosive passesWAS edge
  • ProtectionHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
Trenches50HOUEVEN+150WASMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlWAS edge
  • Pass protectionHOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingWAS edge
  • Stuff creationWAS edge
  • Pressure creationHOU edge
  • Short-yardage defenseWAS edge
Explosive47HOUSLIGHTWAS+753WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWAS edge
  • Explosive passesWAS edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWAS edge
  • Explosive preventionWAS edge
Resilience52HOUEVEN+449WASHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseHOU edge
  • Defensive responseHOU edge
  • Momentum reversalHOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksEven
  • Mistake avoidanceWAS edge
HOUOFFENSEvsWASDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONWAS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS79%SEASONHOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONWAS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)WASOFFENSEvsHOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWAS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS53%SEASONHOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONWAS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONHOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WASRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WAS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (HOU 7, WAS 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.