Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
RAYMOND JAMES STADIUM · TAMPA, FL

Visitors 288 total, 177 passing, 111 rushing. Home 300 total, 131 passing, 169 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB25LACCLEARTB+1238TBHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTB edge
  • Dropback successTB edge
  • Completion over expectedTB edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTB edge
  • Sack avoidanceTB edge
Rush38LACSTRONGTB+2260TBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATB edge
  • Rush successTB edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTB edge
  • Explosive runsTB edge
  • Short yardageTB edge
Pass30LACSLIGHTTB+738TBHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATB edge
  • Pass successTB edge
  • Explosive passesLAC edge
  • ProtectionTB edge
  • Completion over expectedTB edge
Trenches42LACCLEARTB+1758TBMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTB edge
  • Pass protectionTB edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTB edge
  • Stuff creationTB edge
  • Pressure creationTB edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTB edge
Explosive46LACEVEN+451TBHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateTB edge
  • Explosive passesLAC edge
  • Explosive runsTB edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionTB edge
Resilience46LACEVEN+249TBHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseTB edge
  • Defensive responseTB edge
  • Momentum reversalTB edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksLAC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceLAC edge
LACOFFENSEvsTBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATELAC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS44%SEASONTB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS50%SEASONLAC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)39%SEASONTB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)LACRED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS8FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+1 TD FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | LAC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+0%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TBOFFENSEvsLACDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS50%SEASONLAC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)25TRIPS48%SEASONTB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONLAC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)36%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TBRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS9EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (LAC 7, TB 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.