Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
GILLETTE STADIUM · FOXBOROUGH, MA

Visitors 273 total, 180 passing, 93 rushing. Home 367 total, 244 passing, 123 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB50DENEVEN+454NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackNE edge
  • Dropback successNE edge
  • Completion over expectedNE edge
  • Turnover avoidanceDEN edge
  • Sack avoidanceEven
Rush48DENEVEN+250NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPANE edge
  • Rush successNE edge
  • Stuff avoidanceEven
  • Explosive runsNE edge
  • Short yardageNE edge
Pass47DENSLIGHTNE+653NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPANE edge
  • Pass successNE edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionEven
  • Completion over expectedNE edge
Trenches50DENEVEN+050NEMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlEven
  • Pass protectionEven
  • Short-yardage blockingNE edge
  • Stuff creationEven
  • Pressure creationEven
  • Short-yardage defenseNE edge
Explosive48DENEVEN+351NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateNE edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsNE edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeNE edge
  • Explosive preventionNE edge
Resilience49DENEVEN+554NEHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseNE edge
  • Defensive responseDEN edge
  • Momentum reversalNE edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksNE edge
  • Mistake avoidanceDEN edge
DENOFFENSEvsNEDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEDEN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS65%SEASONNE RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS54%SEASONDEN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)26%SEASONNE FORCED FG(DEFENSE)38%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)DENRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY2+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | DEN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4971%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)NEOFFENSEvsDENDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATENE RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS55%SEASONDEN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)26TRIPS46%SEASONNE SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONDEN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)35%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)NERED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+9 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | NE KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3980%40 - 4960%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (DEN 8, NE 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.