Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
HARD ROCK STADIUM · MIAMI GARDENS, FL

Visitors 387 total, 237 passing, 151 rushing. Home 290 total, 167 passing, 123 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB64CHISTRONGCHI+2143MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackCHI edge
  • Dropback successCHI edge
  • Completion over expectedCHI edge
  • Turnover avoidanceCHI edge
  • Sack avoidanceCHI edge
Rush54CHICLEARCHI+1142MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPACHI edge
  • Rush successCHI edge
  • Stuff avoidanceCHI edge
  • Explosive runsMIA edge
  • Short yardageCHI edge
Pass62CHISTRONGCHI+1844MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPACHI edge
  • Pass successCHI edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionCHI edge
  • Completion over expectedCHI edge
Trenches58CHICLEARCHI+1542MIAMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlCHI edge
  • Pass protectionCHI edge
  • Short-yardage blockingCHI edge
  • Stuff creationCHI edge
  • Pressure creationCHI edge
  • Short-yardage defenseCHI edge
Explosive49CHIEVEN+352MIAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateMIA edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsMIA edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeMIA edge
  • Explosive preventionMIA edge
Resilience50CHIEVEN+446MIAHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseCHI edge
  • Defensive responseCHI edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksCHI edge
  • Mistake avoidanceCHI edge
CHIOFFENSEvsMIADEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATECHI RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)34TRIPS59%SEASONMIA RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)29TRIPS62%SEASONCHI SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)18%SEASONMIA FORCED FG(DEFENSE)28%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)CHIRED ZONETRIPS / G4.3TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS5EMPTY9+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | CHI KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 2967%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+60%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)MIAOFFENSEvsCHIDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEMIA RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)18TRIPS56%SEASONCHI RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)23TRIPS52%SEASONMIA SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)44%SEASONCHI FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)MIARED ZONETRIPS / G2.6TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS7EMPTY1+3 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | MIA KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4933%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (CHI 8, MIA 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.