Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
NISSAN STADIUM · NASHVILLE, TN

Visitors 291 total, 175 passing, 117 rushing. Home 273 total, 173 passing, 100 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47INDEVEN+146TENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTEN edge
  • Dropback successIND edge
  • Completion over expectedIND edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTEN edge
  • Sack avoidanceTEN edge
Rush53INDEVEN+154TENMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATEN edge
  • Rush successIND edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTEN edge
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Short yardageEven
Pass50INDEVEN+347TENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAEven
  • Pass successIND edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • ProtectionTEN edge
  • Completion over expectedIND edge
Trenches44INDCLEARTEN+1156TENMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTEN edge
  • Pass protectionTEN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingEven
  • Stuff creationTEN edge
  • Pressure creationTEN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseEven
Explosive52INDEVEN+449TENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateIND edge
  • Explosive passesEven
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeEven
  • Explosive preventionIND edge
Resilience51INDSLIGHTIND+645TENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseIND edge
  • Defensive responseIND edge
  • Momentum reversalIND edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksIND edge
  • Mistake avoidanceTEN edge
INDOFFENSEvsTENDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEIND RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS59%SEASONTEN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONIND SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONTEN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)INDRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | IND KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4988%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TENOFFENSEvsINDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETEN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS52%SEASONIND RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONTEN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONIND FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TENRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TEN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (IND 8, TEN 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.