Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
FORD FIELD · DETROIT, MI

Visitors 300 total, 131 passing, 169 rushing. Home 395 total, 264 passing, 131 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB47TBEVEN+443DETHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackTB edge
  • Dropback successEven
  • Completion over expectedTB edge
  • Turnover avoidanceTB edge
  • Sack avoidanceDET edge
Rush55TBSLIGHTTB+748DETMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATB edge
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceTB edge
  • Explosive runsDET edge
  • Short yardageTB edge
Pass45TBEVEN+146DETHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPATB edge
  • Pass successEven
  • Explosive passesDET edge
  • ProtectionDET edge
  • Completion over expectedTB edge
Trenches54TBSLIGHTTB+746DETMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTB edge
  • Pass protectionDET edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTB edge
  • Stuff creationTB edge
  • Pressure creationDET edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTB edge
Explosive47TBSLIGHTDET+854DETHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateDET edge
  • Explosive passesDET edge
  • Explosive runsDET edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeDET edge
  • Explosive preventionDET edge
Resilience49TBSLIGHTDET+756DETHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseDET edge
  • Defensive responseDET edge
  • Momentum reversalDET edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTB edge
  • Mistake avoidanceDET edge
TBOFFENSEvsDETDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETB RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS50%SEASONDET RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)27TRIPS74%SEASONTB SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)35%SEASONDET FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TBRED ZONETRIPS / G3.3TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS9EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TB KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)DETOFFENSEvsTBDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEDET RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONTB RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)20TRIPS50%SEASONDET SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONTB FORCED FG(DEFENSE)30%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)DETRED ZONETRIPS / G4.4TOUCHDOWNS20FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | DET KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (TB 8, DET 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.