Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
NISSAN STADIUM · NASHVILLE, TN

Visitors 327 total, 201 passing, 127 rushing. Home 273 total, 173 passing, 100 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB57WASSLIGHTWAS+1048TENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackWAS edge
  • Dropback successWAS edge
  • Completion over expectedWAS edge
  • Turnover avoidanceWAS edge
  • Sack avoidanceTEN edge
Rush47WASEVEN+450TENMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPATEN edge
  • Rush successTEN edge
  • Stuff avoidanceTEN edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Short yardageTEN edge
Pass57WASSLIGHTWAS+1047TENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAWAS edge
  • Pass successWAS edge
  • Explosive passesWAS edge
  • ProtectionTEN edge
  • Completion over expectedWAS edge
Trenches46WASSLIGHTTEN+854TENMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlTEN edge
  • Pass protectionTEN edge
  • Short-yardage blockingTEN edge
  • Stuff creationTEN edge
  • Pressure creationTEN edge
  • Short-yardage defenseTEN edge
Explosive58WASCLEARWAS+1642TENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateWAS edge
  • Explosive passesWAS edge
  • Explosive runsWAS edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeWAS edge
  • Explosive preventionWAS edge
Resilience49WASEVEN+445TENHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseWAS edge
  • Defensive responseEven
  • Momentum reversalWAS edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksTEN edge
  • Mistake avoidanceWAS edge
WASOFFENSEvsTENDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEWAS RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS53%SEASONTEN RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)31TRIPS65%SEASONWAS SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONTEN FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)WASRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS10FIELD GOALS6EMPTY3+6 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | WAS KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)TENOFFENSEvsWASDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATETEN RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)23TRIPS52%SEASONWAS RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)24TRIPS79%SEASONTEN SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONWAS FORCED FG(DEFENSE)17%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)TENRED ZONETRIPS / G2.9TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | TEN KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+50%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (WAS 7, TEN 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.