Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
LUCAS OIL STADIUM · INDIANAPOLIS, IN

Visitors 342 total, 248 passing, 94 rushing. Home 291 total, 175 passing, 117 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB52DALSLIGHTDAL+844INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackDAL edge
  • Dropback successDAL edge
  • Completion over expectedIND edge
  • Turnover avoidanceDAL edge
  • Sack avoidanceDAL edge
Rush57DALEVEN+057INDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAEven
  • Rush successEven
  • Stuff avoidanceDAL edge
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Short yardageDAL edge
Pass52DALSLIGHTDAL+844INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPADAL edge
  • Pass successDAL edge
  • Explosive passesDAL edge
  • ProtectionDAL edge
  • Completion over expectedIND edge
Trenches55DALSLIGHTDAL+945INDMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlDAL edge
  • Pass protectionDAL edge
  • Short-yardage blockingDAL edge
  • Stuff creationDAL edge
  • Pressure creationDAL edge
  • Short-yardage defenseDAL edge
Explosive50DALEVEN+150INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesDAL edge
  • Explosive runsIND edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeDAL edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience53DALEVEN+351INDHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseDAL edge
  • Defensive responseIND edge
  • Momentum reversalDAL edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksIND edge
  • Mistake avoidanceDAL edge
DALOFFENSEvsINDDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEDAL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)32TRIPS69%SEASONIND RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)21TRIPS62%SEASONDAL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)22%SEASONIND FORCED FG(DEFENSE)33%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)DALRED ZONETRIPS / G4.0TOUCHDOWNS22FIELD GOALS7EMPTY3+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | DAL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+43%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)INDOFFENSEvsDALDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEIND RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)22TRIPS59%SEASONDAL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)32TRIPS69%SEASONIND SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)32%SEASONDAL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)19%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)INDRED ZONETRIPS / G2.8TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS7EMPTY2+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | IND KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4988%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (DAL 8, IND 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.