Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
ACRISURE STADIUM · PITTSBURGH, PA

Visitors 338 total, 253 passing, 85 rushing. Home 328 total, 211 passing, 118 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB51HOUSLIGHTHOU+645PITHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackHOU edge
  • Dropback successHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
  • Turnover avoidancePIT edge
  • Sack avoidanceHOU edge
Rush36HOUDOMINANTPIT+2864PITMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAPIT edge
  • Rush successPIT edge
  • Stuff avoidancePIT edge
  • Explosive runsPIT edge
  • Short yardagePIT edge
Pass49HOUEVEN+347PITHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAHOU edge
  • Pass successHOU edge
  • Explosive passesPIT edge
  • ProtectionHOU edge
  • Completion over expectedHOU edge
Trenches44HOUCLEARPIT+1256PITMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlPIT edge
  • Pass protectionHOU edge
  • Short-yardage blockingPIT edge
  • Stuff creationPIT edge
  • Pressure creationHOU edge
  • Short-yardage defensePIT edge
Explosive43HOUCLEARPIT+1557PITHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play ratePIT edge
  • Explosive passesPIT edge
  • Explosive runsPIT edge
  • Breakaway magnitudePIT edge
  • Explosive preventionPIT edge
Resilience52HOUEVEN+548PITMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseHOU edge
  • Defensive responseHOU edge
  • Momentum reversalHOU edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksHOU edge
  • Mistake avoidancePIT edge
HOUOFFENSEvsPITDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEHOU RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)25TRIPS60%SEASONPIT RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)16TRIPS38%SEASONHOU SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)20%SEASONPIT FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)HOURED ZONETRIPS / G3.6TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS5EMPTY5+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | HOU KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+86%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)PITOFFENSEvsHOUDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEPIT RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)24TRIPS50%SEASONHOU RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONPIT SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)42%SEASONHOU FORCED FG(DEFENSE)26%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)PITRED ZONETRIPS / G3.0TOUCHDOWNS12FIELD GOALS10EMPTY2+5 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | PIT KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4967%50+57%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (HOU 7, PIT 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.