Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
M&T BANK STADIUM · BALTIMORE, MD

Visitors 350 total, 227 passing, 123 rushing. Home 339 total, 205 passing, 134 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB57JACCLEARJAC+1345BALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackJAC edge
  • Dropback successJAC edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
  • Turnover avoidanceJAC edge
  • Sack avoidanceJAC edge
Rush54JACCLEARJAC+1341BALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAJAC edge
  • Rush successJAC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceJAC edge
  • Explosive runsBAL edge
  • Short yardageJAC edge
Pass60JACCLEARJAC+1248BALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAJAC edge
  • Pass successJAC edge
  • Explosive passesJAC edge
  • ProtectionJAC edge
  • Completion over expectedEven
Trenches57JACCLEARJAC+1443BALMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlJAC edge
  • Pass protectionJAC edge
  • Short-yardage blockingJAC edge
  • Stuff creationJAC edge
  • Pressure creationJAC edge
  • Short-yardage defenseJAC edge
Explosive52JACEVEN+251BALHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateEven
  • Explosive passesJAC edge
  • Explosive runsBAL edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeJAC edge
  • Explosive preventionEven
Resilience55JACCLEARJAC+1441BALHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseJAC edge
  • Defensive responseJAC edge
  • Momentum reversalJAC edge
  • Explosive prevention after shocksBAL edge
  • Mistake avoidanceEven
JACOFFENSEvsBALDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEJAC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)19TRIPS68%SEASONBAL RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)30TRIPS70%SEASONJAC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)16%SEASONBAL FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)JACRED ZONETRIPS / G2.7TOUCHDOWNS13FIELD GOALS3EMPTY3+10 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | JAC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+67%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)BALOFFENSEvsJACDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEBAL RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)27TRIPS59%SEASONJAC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)22TRIPS41%SEASONBAL SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)30%SEASONJAC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)27%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)BALRED ZONETRIPS / G3.4TOUCHDOWNS16FIELD GOALS7EMPTY4+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | BAL KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 3967%40 - 4940%50+100%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (JAC 7, BAL 8), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.