Gridiron Core
NFL · 2026
ARROWHEAD STADIUM · KANSAS CITY, MO

Visitors 333 total, 224 passing, 109 rushing. Home 383 total, 249 passing, 134 rushing.

Matchup Edge

QB48ARICLEARKC+1058KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • EPA per dropbackKC edge
  • Dropback successKC edge
  • Completion over expectedKC edge
  • Turnover avoidanceKC edge
  • Sack avoidanceARI edge
Rush44ARISLIGHTKC+852KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Rush EPAKC edge
  • Rush successKC edge
  • Stuff avoidanceKC edge
  • Explosive runsKC edge
  • Short yardageARI edge
Pass46ARICLEARKC+1056KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Pass EPAKC edge
  • Pass successKC edge
  • Explosive passesKC edge
  • ProtectionARI edge
  • Completion over expectedKC edge
Trenches50ARIEVEN+050KCMEDIUM confidence

What goes into it

  • Run-line controlKC edge
  • Pass protectionARI edge
  • Short-yardage blockingARI edge
  • Stuff creationKC edge
  • Pressure creationARI edge
  • Short-yardage defenseARI edge
Explosive42ARICLEARKC+1658KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Explosive play rateKC edge
  • Explosive passesKC edge
  • Explosive runsKC edge
  • Breakaway magnitudeKC edge
  • Explosive preventionKC edge
Resilience46ARIEVEN+450KCHIGH confidence

What goes into it

  • Offensive responseARI edge
  • Defensive responseKC edge
  • Momentum reversalEven
  • Explosive prevention after shocksKC edge
  • Mistake avoidanceKC edge
ARIOFFENSEvsKCDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEARI RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)33TRIPS45%SEASONKC RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)18TRIPS39%SEASONARI SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)42%SEASONKC FORCED FG(DEFENSE)44%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)ARIRED ZONETRIPS / G4.1TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS14EMPTY4+2 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | ARI KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 49100%50+33%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)KCOFFENSEvsARIDEFENSESCORING TERRITORYANALYTICSRED ZONE TD RATE / TD PREVENTIONFORCED FG RATE / SETTLED FOR FG RATEKC RED ZONE TD RATE(OFFENSE)26TRIPS58%SEASONARI RED ZONE TD ALLOWED(DEFENSE)28TRIPS64%SEASONKC SETTLED FOR FG(OFFENSE)23%SEASONARI FORCED FG(DEFENSE)21%SEASONRED ZONE TRIPS & OUTCOMES(SEASON)KCRED ZONETRIPS / G3.7TOUCHDOWNS15FIELD GOALS6EMPTY5+4 TDS FROM OUTSIDE THE 20 (SEASON)FIELD GOAL SUCCESS BY DISTANCE | KC KICKING (SEASON)MadeMissedSeason (Pregame) Accuracy0 - 29100%30 - 39100%40 - 4980%50+29%0102030405060FIELD GOAL DISTANCE (YARDS)

Season baselines are each team's completed games before kickoff (ARI 8, KC 7), so the pregame numbers stay fixed once the game starts. Live counts are compared with the season's pace for the time played. Red zone: inside the opponent's 20. Explosive: a run of 10+ or a completion of 15+ yards. Play-by-play and box scores from ESPN. Matchup Edges are built from each team's games before kickoff and stay fixed for the whole game.